Track record

Rolling last 500 settled · updated 2026-09-22 22:20 UTC

MarketLeague

Headline edge

No row has reached 200 settled matches yet — every row below is still building. Nothing is counted until it does.

Baseline: long-run outcome frequencies. Rolling window: last 500 settled predictions per row, frozen ≥ 24 h before kick-off. How this is measured · How we verify: daily digest →

Calibration — what happened when we said…

Stated probability against observed hit rate, per market and 5-point bucket
Market	We said	It happened	Gap	n
HT 1X2	35–40 %	28%	-9.9 pp	107
HT O/U 1.5	50–55 %	37%	-15.2 pp	115

A tier on a match page is this comparison for that prediction's league, market and bucket, shrunk toward the stated probability. How tiers are graded

1X2 · EFL Trophy
Building track record · 23/200
Hit rate
39% vs baseline 48% -8.7 pp
Brier
0.608 vs 0.637
Sample
n = 23
HT 1X2 · EFL Trophy
Building track record · 23/200
Hit rate
39% vs baseline 17% +21.7 pp
Brier
0.650 vs 0.691
Sample
n = 23
HT O/U 0.5 · EFL Trophy
Building track record · 23/200
Hit rate
87% vs baseline 87% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.241 vs 0.266
Sample
n = 23
HT O/U 1.5 · EFL Trophy
Building track record · 23/200
Hit rate
57% vs baseline 52% +4.3 pp
Brier
0.486 vs 0.586
Sample
n = 23
O/U 2.5 · EFL Trophy
Building track record · 23/200
Hit rate
65% vs baseline 70% -4.3 pp
Brier
0.454 vs 0.485
Sample
n = 23
1X2 · Challenge Cup
Building track record · 18/200
Hit rate
50% vs baseline 44% +5.6 pp
Brier
0.648 vs 0.645
Sample
n = 18
HT 1X2 · Challenge Cup
Building track record · 18/200
Hit rate
50% vs baseline 28% +22.2 pp
Brier
0.617 vs 0.701
Sample
n = 18
HT O/U 0.5 · Challenge Cup
Building track record · 18/200
Hit rate
83% vs baseline 83% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.295 vs 0.299
Sample
n = 18
HT O/U 1.5 · Challenge Cup
Building track record · 18/200
Hit rate
44% vs baseline 61% -16.7 pp
Brier
0.559 vs 0.504
Sample
n = 18
O/U 2.5 · Challenge Cup
Building track record · 18/200
Hit rate
67% vs baseline 72% -5.6 pp
Brier
0.396 vs 0.483
Sample
n = 18
1X2 · KNVB Beker
Building track record · 14/200
Hit rate
50% vs baseline 50% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.640 vs 0.623
Sample
n = 14
HT 1X2 · KNVB Beker
Building track record · 14/200
Hit rate
21% vs baseline 21% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.753 vs 0.695
Sample
n = 14
HT O/U 0.5 · KNVB Beker
Building track record · 14/200
Hit rate
86% vs baseline 86% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.254 vs 0.277
Sample
n = 14
HT O/U 1.5 · KNVB Beker
Building track record · 14/200
Hit rate
14% vs baseline 64% -50.0 pp
Brier
0.545 vs 0.474
Sample
n = 14
O/U 2.5 · KNVB Beker
Building track record · 14/200
Hit rate
43% vs baseline 64% -21.4 pp
Brier
0.478 vs 0.489
Sample
n = 14
1X2 · FA Cup
Building track record · 13/200
Hit rate
77% vs baseline 77% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.478 vs 0.528
Sample
n = 13
HT 1X2 · FA Cup
Building track record · 13/200
Hit rate
8% vs baseline 46% -38.5 pp
Brier
0.738 vs 0.632
Sample
n = 13
HT O/U 0.5 · FA Cup
Building track record · 13/200
Hit rate
77% vs baseline 77% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.352 vs 0.358
Sample
n = 13
HT O/U 1.5 · FA Cup
Building track record · 13/200
Hit rate
69% vs baseline 62% +7.7 pp
Brier
0.417 vs 0.500
Sample
n = 13
O/U 2.5 · FA Cup
Building track record · 13/200
Hit rate
62% vs baseline 77% -15.4 pp
Brier
0.463 vs 0.479
Sample
n = 13
1X2 · Brasileiro U17
Building track record · 9/200
Hit rate
78% vs baseline 44% +33.3 pp
Brier
0.390 vs 0.639
Sample
n = 9
HT 1X2 · Brasileiro U17
Building track record · 9/200
Hit rate
67% vs baseline 22% +44.4 pp
Brier
0.473 vs 0.708
Sample
n = 9
HT O/U 0.5 · Brasileiro U17
Building track record · 9/200
Hit rate
78% vs baseline 78% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.326 vs 0.350
Sample
n = 9
HT O/U 1.5 · Brasileiro U17
Building track record · 9/200
Hit rate
44% vs baseline 67% -22.2 pp
Brier
0.470 vs 0.452
Sample
n = 9
O/U 2.5 · Brasileiro U17
Building track record · 9/200
Hit rate
67% vs baseline 67% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.461 vs 0.487
Sample
n = 9
1X2 · Non League Premier - Southern Central
Building track record · 7/200
Hit rate
57% vs baseline 29% +28.6 pp
Brier
0.531 vs 0.700
Sample
n = 7
HT 1X2 · Non League Premier - Southern Central
Building track record · 7/200
Hit rate
29% vs baseline 29% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.627 vs 0.675
Sample
n = 7
HT O/U 0.5 · Non League Premier - Southern Central
Building track record · 7/200
Hit rate
71% vs baseline 71% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.392 vs 0.409
Sample
n = 7
HT O/U 1.5 · Non League Premier - Southern Central
Building track record · 7/200
Hit rate
57% vs baseline 71% -14.3 pp
Brier
0.592 vs 0.409
Sample
n = 7
O/U 2.5 · Non League Premier - Southern Central
Building track record · 7/200
Hit rate
29% vs baseline 57% -28.6 pp
Brier
0.660 vs 0.495
Sample
n = 7
1X2 · Liga Profesional Argentina
Building track record · 5/200
Hit rate
80% vs baseline 80% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.534 vs 0.518
Sample
n = 5
HT 1X2 · Liga Profesional Argentina
Building track record · 5/200
Hit rate
40% vs baseline 40% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.650 vs 0.647
Sample
n = 5
HT O/U 0.5 · Liga Profesional Argentina
Building track record · 5/200
Hit rate
60% vs baseline 60% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.450 vs 0.514
Sample
n = 5
HT O/U 1.5 · Liga Profesional Argentina
Building track record · 5/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 100% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.113 vs 0.146
Sample
n = 5
O/U 2.5 · Liga Profesional Argentina
Building track record · 5/200
Hit rate
40% vs baseline 60% -20.0 pp
Brier
0.701 vs 0.493
Sample
n = 5
1X2 · Non League Premier - Southern South
Building track record · 5/200
Hit rate
40% vs baseline 40% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.654 vs 0.658
Sample
n = 5
HT 1X2 · Non League Premier - Southern South
Building track record · 5/200
Hit rate
40% vs baseline 0% +40.0 pp
Brier
0.601 vs 0.759
Sample
n = 5
HT O/U 0.5 · Non League Premier - Southern South
Building track record · 5/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 100% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.100 vs 0.146
Sample
n = 5
HT O/U 1.5 · Non League Premier - Southern South
Building track record · 5/200
Hit rate
60% vs baseline 60% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.442 vs 0.514
Sample
n = 5
O/U 2.5 · Non League Premier - Southern South
Building track record · 5/200
Hit rate
60% vs baseline 80% -20.0 pp
Brier
0.447 vs 0.477
Sample
n = 5
1X2 · UEFA Champions League Women
Building track record · 5/200
Hit rate
40% vs baseline 40% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.740 vs 0.670
Sample
n = 5
HT 1X2 · UEFA Champions League Women
Building track record · 5/200
Hit rate
60% vs baseline 20% +40.0 pp
Brier
0.605 vs 0.671
Sample
n = 5
HT O/U 0.5 · UEFA Champions League Women
Building track record · 5/200
Hit rate
80% vs baseline 80% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.287 vs 0.330
Sample
n = 5
HT O/U 1.5 · UEFA Champions League Women
Building track record · 5/200
Hit rate
80% vs baseline 80% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.441 vs 0.330
Sample
n = 5
O/U 2.5 · UEFA Champions League Women
Building track record · 5/200
Hit rate
40% vs baseline 40% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.560 vs 0.509
Sample
n = 5
1X2 · Azadegan League
Building track record · 4/200
Hit rate
25% vs baseline 0% +25.0 pp
Brier
0.794 vs 0.789
Sample
n = 4
HT 1X2 · Azadegan League
Building track record · 4/200
Hit rate
50% vs baseline 50% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.644 vs 0.683
Sample
n = 4
HT O/U 0.5 · Azadegan League
Building track record · 4/200
Hit rate
50% vs baseline 50% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.512 vs 0.606
Sample
n = 4
HT O/U 1.5 · Azadegan League
Building track record · 4/200
Hit rate
75% vs baseline 75% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.434 vs 0.376
Sample
n = 4
O/U 2.5 · Azadegan League
Building track record · 4/200
Hit rate
75% vs baseline 25% +50.0 pp
Brier
0.388 vs 0.521
Sample
n = 4
1X2 · First League
Building track record · 3/200
Hit rate
67% vs baseline 67% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.439 vs 0.561
Sample
n = 3
HT 1X2 · First League
Building track record · 3/200
Hit rate
67% vs baseline 33% +33.3 pp
Brier
0.664 vs 0.677
Sample
n = 3
HT O/U 0.5 · First League
Building track record · 3/200
Hit rate
67% vs baseline 67% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.426 vs 0.452
Sample
n = 3
HT O/U 1.5 · First League
Building track record · 3/200
Hit rate
33% vs baseline 67% -33.3 pp
Brier
0.624 vs 0.452
Sample
n = 3
O/U 2.5 · First League
Building track record · 3/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 67% +33.3 pp
Brier
0.236 vs 0.487
Sample
n = 3
1X2 · Friendlies
Building track record · 3/200
Hit rate
33% vs baseline 33% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.740 vs 0.668
Sample
n = 3
HT 1X2 · Friendlies
Building track record · 3/200
Hit rate
0% vs baseline 100% -100.0 pp
Brier
0.688 vs 0.543
Sample
n = 3
HT O/U 0.5 · Friendlies
Building track record · 3/200
Hit rate
0% vs baseline 0% 0.0 pp
Brier
1.367 vs 1.066
Sample
n = 3
HT O/U 1.5 · Friendlies
Building track record · 3/200
Hit rate
33% vs baseline 100% -66.7 pp
Brier
0.523 vs 0.146
Sample
n = 3
O/U 2.5 · Friendlies
Building track record · 3/200
Hit rate
67% vs baseline 0% +66.7 pp
Brier
0.509 vs 0.541
Sample
n = 3
1X2 · Liga MX
Building track record · 3/200
Hit rate
0% vs baseline 0% 0.0 pp
Brier
1.038 vs 0.814
Sample
n = 3
HT 1X2 · Liga MX
Building track record · 3/200
Hit rate
67% vs baseline 33% +33.3 pp
Brier
0.561 vs 0.677
Sample
n = 3
HT O/U 0.5 · Liga MX
Building track record · 3/200
Hit rate
67% vs baseline 67% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.391 vs 0.452
Sample
n = 3
HT O/U 1.5 · Liga MX
Building track record · 3/200
Hit rate
33% vs baseline 33% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.469 vs 0.759
Sample
n = 3
O/U 2.5 · Liga MX
Building track record · 3/200
Hit rate
67% vs baseline 67% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.394 vs 0.487
Sample
n = 3
1X2 · Liga MX Femenil
Building track record · 3/200
Hit rate
33% vs baseline 33% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.653 vs 0.668
Sample
n = 3
HT 1X2 · Liga MX Femenil
Building track record · 3/200
Hit rate
33% vs baseline 33% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.630 vs 0.677
Sample
n = 3
HT O/U 0.5 · Liga MX Femenil
Building track record · 3/200
Hit rate
67% vs baseline 67% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.406 vs 0.452
Sample
n = 3
HT O/U 1.5 · Liga MX Femenil
Building track record · 3/200
Hit rate
33% vs baseline 67% -33.3 pp
Brier
0.517 vs 0.452
Sample
n = 3
O/U 2.5 · Liga MX Femenil
Building track record · 3/200
Hit rate
67% vs baseline 33% +33.3 pp
Brier
0.546 vs 0.514
Sample
n = 3
1X2 · Professional Development League
Building track record · 3/200
Hit rate
67% vs baseline 67% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.575 vs 0.581
Sample
n = 3
HT 1X2 · Professional Development League
Building track record · 3/200
Hit rate
33% vs baseline 33% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.747 vs 0.623
Sample
n = 3
HT O/U 0.5 · Professional Development League
Building track record · 3/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 100% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.039 vs 0.146
Sample
n = 3
HT O/U 1.5 · Professional Development League
Building track record · 3/200
Hit rate
33% vs baseline 33% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.398 vs 0.759
Sample
n = 3
O/U 2.5 · Professional Development League
Building track record · 3/200
Hit rate
67% vs baseline 100% -33.3 pp
Brier
0.262 vs 0.461
Sample
n = 3
1X2 · QSL Cup
Building track record · 3/200
Hit rate
67% vs baseline 33% +33.3 pp
Brier
0.452 vs 0.668
Sample
n = 3
HT 1X2 · QSL Cup
Building track record · 3/200
Hit rate
67% vs baseline 0% +66.7 pp
Brier
0.544 vs 0.770
Sample
n = 3
HT O/U 0.5 · QSL Cup
Building track record · 3/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 100% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.074 vs 0.146
Sample
n = 3
HT O/U 1.5 · QSL Cup
Building track record · 3/200
Hit rate
33% vs baseline 100% -66.7 pp
Brier
0.511 vs 0.146
Sample
n = 3
O/U 2.5 · QSL Cup
Building track record · 3/200
Hit rate
0% vs baseline 33% -33.3 pp
Brier
0.708 vs 0.514
Sample
n = 3
1X2 · Erovnuli Liga
Building track record · 2/200
Hit rate
50% vs baseline 0% +50.0 pp
Brier
0.591 vs 0.774
Sample
n = 2
HT 1X2 · Erovnuli Liga
Building track record · 2/200
Hit rate
0% vs baseline 0% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.835 vs 0.823
Sample
n = 2
HT O/U 0.5 · Erovnuli Liga
Building track record · 2/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 100% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.238 vs 0.146
Sample
n = 2
HT O/U 1.5 · Erovnuli Liga
Building track record · 2/200
Hit rate
50% vs baseline 50% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.444 vs 0.606
Sample
n = 2
O/U 2.5 · Erovnuli Liga
Building track record · 2/200
Hit rate
50% vs baseline 50% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.359 vs 0.501
Sample
n = 2
1X2 · Liga I
Building track record · 2/200
Hit rate
50% vs baseline 50% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.627 vs 0.614
Sample
n = 2
HT 1X2 · Liga I
Building track record · 2/200
Hit rate
50% vs baseline 50% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.795 vs 0.683
Sample
n = 2
HT O/U 0.5 · Liga I
Building track record · 2/200
Hit rate
50% vs baseline 50% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.476 vs 0.606
Sample
n = 2
HT O/U 1.5 · Liga I
Building track record · 2/200
Hit rate
50% vs baseline 100% -50.0 pp
Brier
0.424 vs 0.146
Sample
n = 2
O/U 2.5 · Liga I
Building track record · 2/200
Hit rate
50% vs baseline 50% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.479 vs 0.501
Sample
n = 2
1X2 · Liga II
Building track record · 2/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 50% +50.0 pp
Brier
0.250 vs 0.614
Sample
n = 2
HT 1X2 · Liga II
Building track record · 2/200
Hit rate
50% vs baseline 0% +50.0 pp
Brier
0.656 vs 0.823
Sample
n = 2
HT O/U 0.5 · Liga II
Building track record · 2/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 100% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.048 vs 0.146
Sample
n = 2
HT O/U 1.5 · Liga II
Building track record · 2/200
Hit rate
50% vs baseline 100% -50.0 pp
Brier
0.680 vs 0.146
Sample
n = 2
O/U 2.5 · Liga II
Building track record · 2/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 50% +50.0 pp
Brier
0.282 vs 0.501
Sample
n = 2
1X2 · Liga Pro
Building track record · 2/200
Hit rate
0% vs baseline 100% -100.0 pp
Brier
0.682 vs 0.454
Sample
n = 2
HT 1X2 · Liga Pro
Building track record · 2/200
Hit rate
0% vs baseline 0% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.806 vs 0.743
Sample
n = 2
HT O/U 0.5 · Liga Pro
Building track record · 2/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 100% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.229 vs 0.146
Sample
n = 2
HT O/U 1.5 · Liga Pro
Building track record · 2/200
Hit rate
50% vs baseline 50% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.451 vs 0.606
Sample
n = 2
O/U 2.5 · Liga Pro
Building track record · 2/200
Hit rate
0% vs baseline 100% -100.0 pp
Brier
0.802 vs 0.461
Sample
n = 2
1X2 · Liga Revelação U23
Building track record · 2/200
Hit rate
0% vs baseline 0% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.797 vs 0.834
Sample
n = 2
HT 1X2 · Liga Revelação U23
Building track record · 2/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 50% +50.0 pp
Brier
0.390 vs 0.603
Sample
n = 2
HT O/U 0.5 · Liga Revelação U23
Building track record · 2/200
Hit rate
50% vs baseline 50% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.439 vs 0.606
Sample
n = 2
HT O/U 1.5 · Liga Revelação U23
Building track record · 2/200
Hit rate
50% vs baseline 100% -50.0 pp
Brier
0.437 vs 0.146
Sample
n = 2
O/U 2.5 · Liga Revelação U23
Building track record · 2/200
Hit rate
50% vs baseline 0% +50.0 pp
Brier
0.660 vs 0.541
Sample
n = 2
1X2 · NWSL Women
Building track record · 2/200
Hit rate
50% vs baseline 50% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.553 vs 0.614
Sample
n = 2
HT 1X2 · NWSL Women
Building track record · 2/200
Hit rate
50% vs baseline 50% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.615 vs 0.683
Sample
n = 2
HT O/U 0.5 · NWSL Women
Building track record · 2/200
Hit rate
50% vs baseline 50% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.683 vs 0.606
Sample
n = 2
HT O/U 1.5 · NWSL Women
Building track record · 2/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 100% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.339 vs 0.146
Sample
n = 2
O/U 2.5 · NWSL Women
Building track record · 2/200
Hit rate
50% vs baseline 50% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.518 vs 0.501
Sample
n = 2
1X2 · Non League Premier - Isthmian
Building track record · 2/200
Hit rate
50% vs baseline 50% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.667 vs 0.644
Sample
n = 2
HT 1X2 · Non League Premier - Isthmian
Building track record · 2/200
Hit rate
0% vs baseline 0% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.862 vs 0.663
Sample
n = 2
HT O/U 0.5 · Non League Premier - Isthmian
Building track record · 2/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 100% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.019 vs 0.146
Sample
n = 2
HT O/U 1.5 · Non League Premier - Isthmian
Building track record · 2/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 0% +100.0 pp
Brier
0.322 vs 1.066
Sample
n = 2
O/U 2.5 · Non League Premier - Isthmian
Building track record · 2/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 100% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.193 vs 0.461
Sample
n = 2
1X2 · Non League Premier - Northern
Building track record · 2/200
Hit rate
50% vs baseline 50% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.613 vs 0.644
Sample
n = 2
HT 1X2 · Non League Premier - Northern
Building track record · 2/200
Hit rate
0% vs baseline 0% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.867 vs 0.823
Sample
n = 2
HT O/U 0.5 · Non League Premier - Northern
Building track record · 2/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 100% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.163 vs 0.146
Sample
n = 2
HT O/U 1.5 · Non League Premier - Northern
Building track record · 2/200
Hit rate
50% vs baseline 100% -50.0 pp
Brier
0.381 vs 0.146
Sample
n = 2
O/U 2.5 · Non League Premier - Northern
Building track record · 2/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 50% +50.0 pp
Brier
0.314 vs 0.501
Sample
n = 2
1X2 · Primera A
Building track record · 2/200
Hit rate
0% vs baseline 50% -50.0 pp
Brier
0.814 vs 0.644
Sample
n = 2
HT 1X2 · Primera A
Building track record · 2/200
Hit rate
50% vs baseline 50% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.658 vs 0.603
Sample
n = 2
HT O/U 0.5 · Primera A
Building track record · 2/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 100% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.202 vs 0.146
Sample
n = 2
HT O/U 1.5 · Primera A
Building track record · 2/200
Hit rate
0% vs baseline 0% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.799 vs 1.066
Sample
n = 2
O/U 2.5 · Primera A
Building track record · 2/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 0% +100.0 pp
Brier
0.276 vs 0.541
Sample
n = 2
1X2 · Pro League A
Building track record · 2/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 50% +50.0 pp
Brier
0.091 vs 0.614
Sample
n = 2
HT 1X2 · Pro League A
Building track record · 2/200
Hit rate
50% vs baseline 0% +50.0 pp
Brier
0.650 vs 0.743
Sample
n = 2
HT O/U 0.5 · Pro League A
Building track record · 2/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 100% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.217 vs 0.146
Sample
n = 2
HT O/U 1.5 · Pro League A
Building track record · 2/200
Hit rate
0% vs baseline 0% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.873 vs 1.066
Sample
n = 2
O/U 2.5 · Pro League A
Building track record · 2/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 100% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.269 vs 0.461
Sample
n = 2
1X2 · Reserve League
Building track record · 2/200
Hit rate
50% vs baseline 50% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.410 vs 0.614
Sample
n = 2
HT 1X2 · Reserve League
Building track record · 2/200
Hit rate
50% vs baseline 0% +50.0 pp
Brier
0.570 vs 0.743
Sample
n = 2
HT O/U 0.5 · Reserve League
Building track record · 2/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 100% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.170 vs 0.146
Sample
n = 2
HT O/U 1.5 · Reserve League
Building track record · 2/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 100% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.257 vs 0.146
Sample
n = 2
O/U 2.5 · Reserve League
Building track record · 2/200
Hit rate
50% vs baseline 50% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.424 vs 0.501
Sample
n = 2
1X2 · 3. Division - Girone 5
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 100% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.113 vs 0.454
Sample
n = 1
HT 1X2 · 3. Division - Girone 5
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 0% +100.0 pp
Brier
0.211 vs 0.663
Sample
n = 1
HT O/U 0.5 · 3. Division - Girone 5
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 100% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.018 vs 0.146
Sample
n = 1
HT O/U 1.5 · 3. Division - Girone 5
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 0% +100.0 pp
Brier
0.289 vs 1.066
Sample
n = 1
O/U 2.5 · 3. Division - Girone 5
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 100% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.097 vs 0.461
Sample
n = 1
1X2 · Brasileiro Women
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 100% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.200 vs 0.454
Sample
n = 1
HT 1X2 · Brasileiro Women
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 0% +100.0 pp
Brier
0.327 vs 0.663
Sample
n = 1
HT O/U 0.5 · Brasileiro Women
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 100% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.062 vs 0.146
Sample
n = 1
HT O/U 1.5 · Brasileiro Women
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
0% vs baseline 100% -100.0 pp
Brier
0.669 vs 0.146
Sample
n = 1
O/U 2.5 · Brasileiro Women
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
0% vs baseline 0% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.746 vs 0.541
Sample
n = 1
1X2 · Copa de la División Profesional
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 100% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.249 vs 0.454
Sample
n = 1
HT 1X2 · Copa de la División Profesional
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
0% vs baseline 0% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.962 vs 0.663
Sample
n = 1
HT O/U 0.5 · Copa de la División Profesional
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 100% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.092 vs 0.146
Sample
n = 1
HT O/U 1.5 · Copa de la División Profesional
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 0% +100.0 pp
Brier
0.461 vs 1.066
Sample
n = 1
O/U 2.5 · Copa de la División Profesional
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 100% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.283 vs 0.461
Sample
n = 1
1X2 · Cup
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 100% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.265 vs 0.454
Sample
n = 1
HT 1X2 · Cup
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
0% vs baseline 0% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.738 vs 0.663
Sample
n = 1
HT O/U 0.5 · Cup
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 100% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.053 vs 0.146
Sample
n = 1
HT O/U 1.5 · Cup
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
0% vs baseline 100% -100.0 pp
Brier
0.766 vs 0.146
Sample
n = 1
O/U 2.5 · Cup
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 100% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.247 vs 0.461
Sample
n = 1
1X2 · Frauen Bundesliga
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
0% vs baseline 0% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.850 vs 0.834
Sample
n = 1
HT 1X2 · Frauen Bundesliga
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 0% +100.0 pp
Brier
0.497 vs 0.663
Sample
n = 1
HT O/U 0.5 · Frauen Bundesliga
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 100% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.061 vs 0.146
Sample
n = 1
HT O/U 1.5 · Frauen Bundesliga
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 100% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.411 vs 0.146
Sample
n = 1
O/U 2.5 · Frauen Bundesliga
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
0% vs baseline 0% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.527 vs 0.541
Sample
n = 1
1X2 · Kvindeliga
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 0% +100.0 pp
Brier
0.033 vs 0.774
Sample
n = 1
HT 1X2 · Kvindeliga
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 0% +100.0 pp
Brier
0.245 vs 0.823
Sample
n = 1
HT O/U 0.5 · Kvindeliga
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 100% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.024 vs 0.146
Sample
n = 1
HT O/U 1.5 · Kvindeliga
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
0% vs baseline 100% -100.0 pp
Brier
0.668 vs 0.146
Sample
n = 1
O/U 2.5 · Kvindeliga
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
0% vs baseline 0% 0.0 pp
Brier
1.341 vs 0.541
Sample
n = 1
1X2 · Liga Panameña de Fútbol
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 100% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.368 vs 0.454
Sample
n = 1
HT 1X2 · Liga Panameña de Fútbol
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 100% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.412 vs 0.543
Sample
n = 1
HT O/U 0.5 · Liga Panameña de Fútbol
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
0% vs baseline 0% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.726 vs 1.066
Sample
n = 1
HT O/U 1.5 · Liga Panameña de Fútbol
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 100% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.105 vs 0.146
Sample
n = 1
O/U 2.5 · Liga Panameña de Fútbol
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 0% +100.0 pp
Brier
0.250 vs 0.541
Sample
n = 1
1X2 · Liga de Ascenso
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 100% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.322 vs 0.454
Sample
n = 1
HT 1X2 · Liga de Ascenso
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
0% vs baseline 100% -100.0 pp
Brier
0.701 vs 0.543
Sample
n = 1
HT O/U 0.5 · Liga de Ascenso
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
0% vs baseline 0% 0.0 pp
Brier
1.300 vs 1.066
Sample
n = 1
HT O/U 1.5 · Liga de Ascenso
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 100% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.374 vs 0.146
Sample
n = 1
O/U 2.5 · Liga de Ascenso
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
0% vs baseline 0% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.505 vs 0.541
Sample
n = 1
1X2 · Ligue 1
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
0% vs baseline 0% 0.0 pp
Brier
1.293 vs 0.834
Sample
n = 1
HT 1X2 · Ligue 1
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 100% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.508 vs 0.543
Sample
n = 1
HT O/U 0.5 · Ligue 1
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
0% vs baseline 0% 0.0 pp
Brier
1.103 vs 1.066
Sample
n = 1
HT O/U 1.5 · Ligue 1
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 100% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.408 vs 0.146
Sample
n = 1
O/U 2.5 · Ligue 1
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
0% vs baseline 0% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.784 vs 0.541
Sample
n = 1
1X2 · Major League Soccer
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
0% vs baseline 0% 0.0 pp
Brier
1.145 vs 0.834
Sample
n = 1
HT 1X2 · Major League Soccer
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
0% vs baseline 100% -100.0 pp
Brier
0.871 vs 0.543
Sample
n = 1
HT O/U 0.5 · Major League Soccer
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 100% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.022 vs 0.146
Sample
n = 1
HT O/U 1.5 · Major League Soccer
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 0% +100.0 pp
Brier
0.263 vs 1.066
Sample
n = 1
O/U 2.5 · Major League Soccer
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 100% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.079 vs 0.461
Sample
n = 1
1X2 · Premier League
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 100% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.421 vs 0.454
Sample
n = 1
HT 1X2 · Premier League
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
0% vs baseline 0% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.947 vs 0.663
Sample
n = 1
HT O/U 0.5 · Premier League
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 100% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.240 vs 0.146
Sample
n = 1
HT O/U 1.5 · Premier League
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
0% vs baseline 0% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.971 vs 1.066
Sample
n = 1
O/U 2.5 · Premier League
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
0% vs baseline 100% -100.0 pp
Brier
0.602 vs 0.461
Sample
n = 1
1X2 · Primera B
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
0% vs baseline 0% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.798 vs 0.834
Sample
n = 1
HT 1X2 · Primera B
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 100% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.560 vs 0.543
Sample
n = 1
HT O/U 0.5 · Primera B
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
0% vs baseline 0% 0.0 pp
Brier
1.149 vs 1.066
Sample
n = 1
HT O/U 1.5 · Primera B
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 100% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.426 vs 0.146
Sample
n = 1
O/U 2.5 · Primera B
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
0% vs baseline 0% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.563 vs 0.541
Sample
n = 1
1X2 · Primera Nacional
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
0% vs baseline 0% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.605 vs 0.834
Sample
n = 1
HT 1X2 · Primera Nacional
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
0% vs baseline 0% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.555 vs 0.823
Sample
n = 1
HT O/U 0.5 · Primera Nacional
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 100% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.251 vs 0.146
Sample
n = 1
HT O/U 1.5 · Primera Nacional
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 100% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.164 vs 0.146
Sample
n = 1
O/U 2.5 · Primera Nacional
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 0% +100.0 pp
Brier
0.104 vs 0.541
Sample
n = 1
1X2 · Primera Premier
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
0% vs baseline 0% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.797 vs 0.774
Sample
n = 1
HT 1X2 · Primera Premier
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 0% +100.0 pp
Brier
0.466 vs 0.823
Sample
n = 1
HT O/U 0.5 · Primera Premier
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 100% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.113 vs 0.146
Sample
n = 1
HT O/U 1.5 · Primera Premier
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 100% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.453 vs 0.146
Sample
n = 1
O/U 2.5 · Primera Premier
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
0% vs baseline 100% -100.0 pp
Brier
0.616 vs 0.461
Sample
n = 1
1X2 · Regionalliga - Ost
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 100% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.476 vs 0.454
Sample
n = 1
HT 1X2 · Regionalliga - Ost
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
0% vs baseline 0% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.738 vs 0.663
Sample
n = 1
HT O/U 0.5 · Regionalliga - Ost
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 100% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.021 vs 0.146
Sample
n = 1
HT O/U 1.5 · Regionalliga - Ost
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
0% vs baseline 100% -100.0 pp
Brier
0.680 vs 0.146
Sample
n = 1
O/U 2.5 · Regionalliga - Ost
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
0% vs baseline 0% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.991 vs 0.541
Sample
n = 1
1X2 · Regionalliga - South
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 100% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.119 vs 0.454
Sample
n = 1
HT 1X2 · Regionalliga - South
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 0% +100.0 pp
Brier
0.483 vs 0.663
Sample
n = 1
HT O/U 0.5 · Regionalliga - South
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 100% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.123 vs 0.146
Sample
n = 1
HT O/U 1.5 · Regionalliga - South
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 100% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.372 vs 0.146
Sample
n = 1
O/U 2.5 · Regionalliga - South
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 100% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.316 vs 0.461
Sample
n = 1
1X2 · Second League - Group 1
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 100% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.278 vs 0.454
Sample
n = 1
HT 1X2 · Second League - Group 1
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 0% +100.0 pp
Brier
0.364 vs 0.663
Sample
n = 1
HT O/U 0.5 · Second League - Group 1
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 100% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.118 vs 0.146
Sample
n = 1
HT O/U 1.5 · Second League - Group 1
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
0% vs baseline 0% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.674 vs 1.066
Sample
n = 1
O/U 2.5 · Second League - Group 1
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
0% vs baseline 100% -100.0 pp
Brier
0.556 vs 0.461
Sample
n = 1
1X2 · Serie A
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 100% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.409 vs 0.454
Sample
n = 1
HT 1X2 · Serie A
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
0% vs baseline 100% -100.0 pp
Brier
0.661 vs 0.543
Sample
n = 1
HT O/U 0.5 · Serie A
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 100% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.062 vs 0.146
Sample
n = 1
HT O/U 1.5 · Serie A
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 0% +100.0 pp
Brier
0.462 vs 1.066
Sample
n = 1
O/U 2.5 · Serie A
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 100% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.431 vs 0.461
Sample
n = 1
1X2 · Serie B
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 100% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.433 vs 0.454
Sample
n = 1
HT 1X2 · Serie B
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
0% vs baseline 0% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.684 vs 0.663
Sample
n = 1
HT O/U 0.5 · Serie B
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 100% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.278 vs 0.146
Sample
n = 1
HT O/U 1.5 · Serie B
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 100% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.157 vs 0.146
Sample
n = 1
O/U 2.5 · Serie B
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
0% vs baseline 100% -100.0 pp
Brier
0.798 vs 0.461
Sample
n = 1
1X2 · Torneo Promocional Amateur
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
0% vs baseline 100% -100.0 pp
Brier
0.676 vs 0.454
Sample
n = 1
O/U 2.5 · Torneo Promocional Amateur
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
0% vs baseline 100% -100.0 pp
Brier
0.855 vs 0.461
Sample
n = 1
1X2 · USL Super League
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 100% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.191 vs 0.454
Sample
n = 1
HT 1X2 · USL Super League
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 100% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.533 vs 0.543
Sample
n = 1
HT O/U 0.5 · USL Super League
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
0% vs baseline 0% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.924 vs 1.066
Sample
n = 1
HT O/U 1.5 · USL Super League
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 100% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.150 vs 0.146
Sample
n = 1
O/U 2.5 · USL Super League
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
0% vs baseline 100% -100.0 pp
Brier
0.599 vs 0.461
Sample
n = 1

Late updates (predictions refreshed 6 h before kick-off) · 242 rows

1X2 · EFL Trophy
Building track record · 23/200
Hit rate
39% vs baseline 48% -8.7 pp
Brier
0.608 vs 0.637
Sample
n = 23
HT 1X2 · EFL Trophy
Building track record · 23/200
Hit rate
39% vs baseline 17% +21.7 pp
Brier
0.650 vs 0.691
Sample
n = 23
HT O/U 0.5 · EFL Trophy
Building track record · 23/200
Hit rate
87% vs baseline 87% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.241 vs 0.266
Sample
n = 23
HT O/U 1.5 · EFL Trophy
Building track record · 23/200
Hit rate
57% vs baseline 52% +4.3 pp
Brier
0.486 vs 0.586
Sample
n = 23
O/U 2.5 · EFL Trophy
Building track record · 23/200
Hit rate
65% vs baseline 70% -4.3 pp
Brier
0.454 vs 0.485
Sample
n = 23
1X2 · Challenge Cup
Building track record · 18/200
Hit rate
50% vs baseline 44% +5.6 pp
Brier
0.648 vs 0.645
Sample
n = 18
HT 1X2 · Challenge Cup
Building track record · 18/200
Hit rate
50% vs baseline 28% +22.2 pp
Brier
0.617 vs 0.701
Sample
n = 18
HT O/U 0.5 · Challenge Cup
Building track record · 18/200
Hit rate
83% vs baseline 83% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.295 vs 0.299
Sample
n = 18
HT O/U 1.5 · Challenge Cup
Building track record · 18/200
Hit rate
44% vs baseline 61% -16.7 pp
Brier
0.559 vs 0.504
Sample
n = 18
O/U 2.5 · Challenge Cup
Building track record · 18/200
Hit rate
67% vs baseline 72% -5.6 pp
Brier
0.396 vs 0.483
Sample
n = 18
1X2 · KNVB Beker
Building track record · 14/200
Hit rate
50% vs baseline 50% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.640 vs 0.623
Sample
n = 14
HT 1X2 · KNVB Beker
Building track record · 14/200
Hit rate
21% vs baseline 21% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.753 vs 0.695
Sample
n = 14
HT O/U 0.5 · KNVB Beker
Building track record · 14/200
Hit rate
86% vs baseline 86% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.254 vs 0.277
Sample
n = 14
HT O/U 1.5 · KNVB Beker
Building track record · 14/200
Hit rate
14% vs baseline 64% -50.0 pp
Brier
0.545 vs 0.474
Sample
n = 14
O/U 2.5 · KNVB Beker
Building track record · 14/200
Hit rate
43% vs baseline 64% -21.4 pp
Brier
0.478 vs 0.489
Sample
n = 14
1X2 · FA Cup
Building track record · 13/200
Hit rate
77% vs baseline 77% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.478 vs 0.528
Sample
n = 13
HT 1X2 · FA Cup
Building track record · 13/200
Hit rate
8% vs baseline 46% -38.5 pp
Brier
0.738 vs 0.632
Sample
n = 13
HT O/U 0.5 · FA Cup
Building track record · 13/200
Hit rate
77% vs baseline 77% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.352 vs 0.358
Sample
n = 13
HT O/U 1.5 · FA Cup
Building track record · 13/200
Hit rate
69% vs baseline 62% +7.7 pp
Brier
0.417 vs 0.500
Sample
n = 13
O/U 2.5 · FA Cup
Building track record · 13/200
Hit rate
62% vs baseline 77% -15.4 pp
Brier
0.463 vs 0.479
Sample
n = 13
1X2 · Brasileiro U17
Building track record · 9/200
Hit rate
78% vs baseline 44% +33.3 pp
Brier
0.390 vs 0.639
Sample
n = 9
HT 1X2 · Brasileiro U17
Building track record · 9/200
Hit rate
67% vs baseline 22% +44.4 pp
Brier
0.473 vs 0.708
Sample
n = 9
HT O/U 0.5 · Brasileiro U17
Building track record · 9/200
Hit rate
78% vs baseline 78% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.326 vs 0.350
Sample
n = 9
HT O/U 1.5 · Brasileiro U17
Building track record · 9/200
Hit rate
44% vs baseline 67% -22.2 pp
Brier
0.470 vs 0.452
Sample
n = 9
O/U 2.5 · Brasileiro U17
Building track record · 9/200
Hit rate
67% vs baseline 67% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.461 vs 0.487
Sample
n = 9
1X2 · Non League Premier - Southern Central
Building track record · 7/200
Hit rate
57% vs baseline 29% +28.6 pp
Brier
0.531 vs 0.700
Sample
n = 7
HT 1X2 · Non League Premier - Southern Central
Building track record · 7/200
Hit rate
29% vs baseline 29% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.627 vs 0.675
Sample
n = 7
HT O/U 0.5 · Non League Premier - Southern Central
Building track record · 7/200
Hit rate
71% vs baseline 71% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.392 vs 0.409
Sample
n = 7
HT O/U 1.5 · Non League Premier - Southern Central
Building track record · 7/200
Hit rate
57% vs baseline 71% -14.3 pp
Brier
0.592 vs 0.409
Sample
n = 7
O/U 2.5 · Non League Premier - Southern Central
Building track record · 7/200
Hit rate
29% vs baseline 57% -28.6 pp
Brier
0.660 vs 0.495
Sample
n = 7
1X2 · Liga Profesional Argentina
Building track record · 5/200
Hit rate
80% vs baseline 80% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.515 vs 0.518
Sample
n = 5
HT 1X2 · Liga Profesional Argentina
Building track record · 5/200
Hit rate
40% vs baseline 40% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.653 vs 0.647
Sample
n = 5
HT O/U 0.5 · Liga Profesional Argentina
Building track record · 5/200
Hit rate
60% vs baseline 60% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.463 vs 0.514
Sample
n = 5
HT O/U 1.5 · Liga Profesional Argentina
Building track record · 5/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 100% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.122 vs 0.146
Sample
n = 5
O/U 2.5 · Liga Profesional Argentina
Building track record · 5/200
Hit rate
40% vs baseline 60% -20.0 pp
Brier
0.724 vs 0.493
Sample
n = 5
1X2 · Non League Premier - Southern South
Building track record · 5/200
Hit rate
40% vs baseline 40% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.654 vs 0.658
Sample
n = 5
HT 1X2 · Non League Premier - Southern South
Building track record · 5/200
Hit rate
40% vs baseline 0% +40.0 pp
Brier
0.601 vs 0.759
Sample
n = 5
HT O/U 0.5 · Non League Premier - Southern South
Building track record · 5/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 100% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.100 vs 0.146
Sample
n = 5
HT O/U 1.5 · Non League Premier - Southern South
Building track record · 5/200
Hit rate
60% vs baseline 60% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.442 vs 0.514
Sample
n = 5
O/U 2.5 · Non League Premier - Southern South
Building track record · 5/200
Hit rate
60% vs baseline 80% -20.0 pp
Brier
0.447 vs 0.477
Sample
n = 5
1X2 · UEFA Champions League Women
Building track record · 5/200
Hit rate
40% vs baseline 40% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.740 vs 0.670
Sample
n = 5
HT 1X2 · UEFA Champions League Women
Building track record · 5/200
Hit rate
60% vs baseline 20% +40.0 pp
Brier
0.605 vs 0.671
Sample
n = 5
HT O/U 0.5 · UEFA Champions League Women
Building track record · 5/200
Hit rate
80% vs baseline 80% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.287 vs 0.330
Sample
n = 5
HT O/U 1.5 · UEFA Champions League Women
Building track record · 5/200
Hit rate
80% vs baseline 80% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.441 vs 0.330
Sample
n = 5
O/U 2.5 · UEFA Champions League Women
Building track record · 5/200
Hit rate
40% vs baseline 40% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.559 vs 0.509
Sample
n = 5
1X2 · Azadegan League
Building track record · 4/200
Hit rate
25% vs baseline 0% +25.0 pp
Brier
0.794 vs 0.789
Sample
n = 4
HT 1X2 · Azadegan League
Building track record · 4/200
Hit rate
50% vs baseline 50% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.644 vs 0.683
Sample
n = 4
HT O/U 0.5 · Azadegan League
Building track record · 4/200
Hit rate
50% vs baseline 50% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.512 vs 0.606
Sample
n = 4
HT O/U 1.5 · Azadegan League
Building track record · 4/200
Hit rate
75% vs baseline 75% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.434 vs 0.376
Sample
n = 4
O/U 2.5 · Azadegan League
Building track record · 4/200
Hit rate
75% vs baseline 25% +50.0 pp
Brier
0.388 vs 0.521
Sample
n = 4
1X2 · Liga MX Femenil
Building track record · 4/200
Hit rate
50% vs baseline 50% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.587 vs 0.614
Sample
n = 4
HT 1X2 · Liga MX Femenil
Building track record · 4/200
Hit rate
25% vs baseline 25% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.667 vs 0.673
Sample
n = 4
HT O/U 0.5 · Liga MX Femenil
Building track record · 4/200
Hit rate
75% vs baseline 75% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.358 vs 0.376
Sample
n = 4
HT O/U 1.5 · Liga MX Femenil
Building track record · 4/200
Hit rate
50% vs baseline 75% -25.0 pp
Brier
0.450 vs 0.376
Sample
n = 4
O/U 2.5 · Liga MX Femenil
Building track record · 4/200
Hit rate
50% vs baseline 50% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.596 vs 0.501
Sample
n = 4
1X2 · First League
Building track record · 3/200
Hit rate
67% vs baseline 67% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.439 vs 0.561
Sample
n = 3
HT 1X2 · First League
Building track record · 3/200
Hit rate
67% vs baseline 33% +33.3 pp
Brier
0.664 vs 0.677
Sample
n = 3
HT O/U 0.5 · First League
Building track record · 3/200
Hit rate
67% vs baseline 67% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.427 vs 0.452
Sample
n = 3
HT O/U 1.5 · First League
Building track record · 3/200
Hit rate
33% vs baseline 67% -33.3 pp
Brier
0.625 vs 0.452
Sample
n = 3
O/U 2.5 · First League
Building track record · 3/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 67% +33.3 pp
Brier
0.236 vs 0.487
Sample
n = 3
1X2 · Friendlies
Building track record · 3/200
Hit rate
33% vs baseline 33% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.740 vs 0.668
Sample
n = 3
HT 1X2 · Friendlies
Building track record · 3/200
Hit rate
0% vs baseline 100% -100.0 pp
Brier
0.687 vs 0.543
Sample
n = 3
HT O/U 0.5 · Friendlies
Building track record · 3/200
Hit rate
0% vs baseline 0% 0.0 pp
Brier
1.366 vs 1.066
Sample
n = 3
HT O/U 1.5 · Friendlies
Building track record · 3/200
Hit rate
33% vs baseline 100% -66.7 pp
Brier
0.523 vs 0.146
Sample
n = 3
O/U 2.5 · Friendlies
Building track record · 3/200
Hit rate
67% vs baseline 0% +66.7 pp
Brier
0.508 vs 0.541
Sample
n = 3
1X2 · Liga MX
Building track record · 3/200
Hit rate
0% vs baseline 0% 0.0 pp
Brier
1.048 vs 0.814
Sample
n = 3
HT 1X2 · Liga MX
Building track record · 3/200
Hit rate
67% vs baseline 33% +33.3 pp
Brier
0.564 vs 0.677
Sample
n = 3
HT O/U 0.5 · Liga MX
Building track record · 3/200
Hit rate
67% vs baseline 67% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.423 vs 0.452
Sample
n = 3
HT O/U 1.5 · Liga MX
Building track record · 3/200
Hit rate
33% vs baseline 33% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.572 vs 0.759
Sample
n = 3
O/U 2.5 · Liga MX
Building track record · 3/200
Hit rate
67% vs baseline 67% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.425 vs 0.487
Sample
n = 3
1X2 · Presidents Cup
Building track record · 3/200
Hit rate
33% vs baseline 33% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.673 vs 0.668
Sample
n = 3
HT 1X2 · Presidents Cup
Building track record · 3/200
Hit rate
33% vs baseline 67% -33.3 pp
Brier
0.626 vs 0.637
Sample
n = 3
HT O/U 0.5 · Presidents Cup
Building track record · 3/200
Hit rate
67% vs baseline 67% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.460 vs 0.452
Sample
n = 3
HT O/U 1.5 · Presidents Cup
Building track record · 3/200
Hit rate
33% vs baseline 33% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.585 vs 0.759
Sample
n = 3
O/U 2.5 · Presidents Cup
Building track record · 3/200
Hit rate
33% vs baseline 67% -33.3 pp
Brier
0.554 vs 0.487
Sample
n = 3
1X2 · Professional Development League
Building track record · 3/200
Hit rate
67% vs baseline 67% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.575 vs 0.581
Sample
n = 3
HT 1X2 · Professional Development League
Building track record · 3/200
Hit rate
33% vs baseline 33% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.747 vs 0.623
Sample
n = 3
HT O/U 0.5 · Professional Development League
Building track record · 3/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 100% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.039 vs 0.146
Sample
n = 3
HT O/U 1.5 · Professional Development League
Building track record · 3/200
Hit rate
33% vs baseline 33% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.398 vs 0.759
Sample
n = 3
O/U 2.5 · Professional Development League
Building track record · 3/200
Hit rate
67% vs baseline 100% -33.3 pp
Brier
0.262 vs 0.461
Sample
n = 3
1X2 · QSL Cup
Building track record · 3/200
Hit rate
67% vs baseline 33% +33.3 pp
Brier
0.452 vs 0.668
Sample
n = 3
HT 1X2 · QSL Cup
Building track record · 3/200
Hit rate
67% vs baseline 0% +66.7 pp
Brier
0.544 vs 0.770
Sample
n = 3
HT O/U 0.5 · QSL Cup
Building track record · 3/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 100% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.074 vs 0.146
Sample
n = 3
HT O/U 1.5 · QSL Cup
Building track record · 3/200
Hit rate
33% vs baseline 100% -66.7 pp
Brier
0.511 vs 0.146
Sample
n = 3
O/U 2.5 · QSL Cup
Building track record · 3/200
Hit rate
0% vs baseline 33% -33.3 pp
Brier
0.708 vs 0.514
Sample
n = 3
1X2 · Erovnuli Liga
Building track record · 2/200
Hit rate
50% vs baseline 0% +50.0 pp
Brier
0.591 vs 0.774
Sample
n = 2
HT 1X2 · Erovnuli Liga
Building track record · 2/200
Hit rate
0% vs baseline 0% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.835 vs 0.823
Sample
n = 2
HT O/U 0.5 · Erovnuli Liga
Building track record · 2/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 100% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.238 vs 0.146
Sample
n = 2
HT O/U 1.5 · Erovnuli Liga
Building track record · 2/200
Hit rate
50% vs baseline 50% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.444 vs 0.606
Sample
n = 2
O/U 2.5 · Erovnuli Liga
Building track record · 2/200
Hit rate
50% vs baseline 50% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.359 vs 0.501
Sample
n = 2
1X2 · Liga I
Building track record · 2/200
Hit rate
50% vs baseline 50% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.627 vs 0.614
Sample
n = 2
HT 1X2 · Liga I
Building track record · 2/200
Hit rate
50% vs baseline 50% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.795 vs 0.683
Sample
n = 2
HT O/U 0.5 · Liga I
Building track record · 2/200
Hit rate
50% vs baseline 50% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.476 vs 0.606
Sample
n = 2
HT O/U 1.5 · Liga I
Building track record · 2/200
Hit rate
50% vs baseline 100% -50.0 pp
Brier
0.424 vs 0.146
Sample
n = 2
O/U 2.5 · Liga I
Building track record · 2/200
Hit rate
50% vs baseline 50% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.479 vs 0.501
Sample
n = 2
1X2 · Liga II
Building track record · 2/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 50% +50.0 pp
Brier
0.250 vs 0.614
Sample
n = 2
HT 1X2 · Liga II
Building track record · 2/200
Hit rate
50% vs baseline 0% +50.0 pp
Brier
0.656 vs 0.823
Sample
n = 2
HT O/U 0.5 · Liga II
Building track record · 2/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 100% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.048 vs 0.146
Sample
n = 2
HT O/U 1.5 · Liga II
Building track record · 2/200
Hit rate
50% vs baseline 100% -50.0 pp
Brier
0.680 vs 0.146
Sample
n = 2
O/U 2.5 · Liga II
Building track record · 2/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 50% +50.0 pp
Brier
0.282 vs 0.501
Sample
n = 2
1X2 · Liga Pro
Building track record · 2/200
Hit rate
0% vs baseline 100% -100.0 pp
Brier
0.658 vs 0.454
Sample
n = 2
HT 1X2 · Liga Pro
Building track record · 2/200
Hit rate
0% vs baseline 0% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.806 vs 0.743
Sample
n = 2
HT O/U 0.5 · Liga Pro
Building track record · 2/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 100% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.248 vs 0.146
Sample
n = 2
HT O/U 1.5 · Liga Pro
Building track record · 2/200
Hit rate
50% vs baseline 50% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.489 vs 0.606
Sample
n = 2
O/U 2.5 · Liga Pro
Building track record · 2/200
Hit rate
0% vs baseline 100% -100.0 pp
Brier
0.798 vs 0.461
Sample
n = 2
1X2 · Liga Revelação U23
Building track record · 2/200
Hit rate
0% vs baseline 0% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.797 vs 0.834
Sample
n = 2
HT 1X2 · Liga Revelação U23
Building track record · 2/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 50% +50.0 pp
Brier
0.390 vs 0.603
Sample
n = 2
HT O/U 0.5 · Liga Revelação U23
Building track record · 2/200
Hit rate
50% vs baseline 50% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.439 vs 0.606
Sample
n = 2
HT O/U 1.5 · Liga Revelação U23
Building track record · 2/200
Hit rate
50% vs baseline 100% -50.0 pp
Brier
0.437 vs 0.146
Sample
n = 2
O/U 2.5 · Liga Revelação U23
Building track record · 2/200
Hit rate
50% vs baseline 0% +50.0 pp
Brier
0.660 vs 0.541
Sample
n = 2
1X2 · NWSL Women
Building track record · 2/200
Hit rate
50% vs baseline 50% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.553 vs 0.614
Sample
n = 2
HT 1X2 · NWSL Women
Building track record · 2/200
Hit rate
50% vs baseline 50% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.615 vs 0.683
Sample
n = 2
HT O/U 0.5 · NWSL Women
Building track record · 2/200
Hit rate
50% vs baseline 50% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.683 vs 0.606
Sample
n = 2
HT O/U 1.5 · NWSL Women
Building track record · 2/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 100% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.339 vs 0.146
Sample
n = 2
O/U 2.5 · NWSL Women
Building track record · 2/200
Hit rate
50% vs baseline 50% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.518 vs 0.501
Sample
n = 2
1X2 · Non League Premier - Isthmian
Building track record · 2/200
Hit rate
50% vs baseline 50% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.667 vs 0.644
Sample
n = 2
HT 1X2 · Non League Premier - Isthmian
Building track record · 2/200
Hit rate
0% vs baseline 0% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.862 vs 0.663
Sample
n = 2
HT O/U 0.5 · Non League Premier - Isthmian
Building track record · 2/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 100% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.019 vs 0.146
Sample
n = 2
HT O/U 1.5 · Non League Premier - Isthmian
Building track record · 2/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 0% +100.0 pp
Brier
0.322 vs 1.066
Sample
n = 2
O/U 2.5 · Non League Premier - Isthmian
Building track record · 2/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 100% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.193 vs 0.461
Sample
n = 2
1X2 · Non League Premier - Northern
Building track record · 2/200
Hit rate
50% vs baseline 50% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.613 vs 0.644
Sample
n = 2
HT 1X2 · Non League Premier - Northern
Building track record · 2/200
Hit rate
0% vs baseline 0% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.867 vs 0.823
Sample
n = 2
HT O/U 0.5 · Non League Premier - Northern
Building track record · 2/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 100% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.163 vs 0.146
Sample
n = 2
HT O/U 1.5 · Non League Premier - Northern
Building track record · 2/200
Hit rate
50% vs baseline 100% -50.0 pp
Brier
0.381 vs 0.146
Sample
n = 2
O/U 2.5 · Non League Premier - Northern
Building track record · 2/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 50% +50.0 pp
Brier
0.314 vs 0.501
Sample
n = 2
1X2 · Primera A
Building track record · 2/200
Hit rate
0% vs baseline 50% -50.0 pp
Brier
0.814 vs 0.644
Sample
n = 2
HT 1X2 · Primera A
Building track record · 2/200
Hit rate
50% vs baseline 50% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.658 vs 0.603
Sample
n = 2
HT O/U 0.5 · Primera A
Building track record · 2/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 100% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.202 vs 0.146
Sample
n = 2
HT O/U 1.5 · Primera A
Building track record · 2/200
Hit rate
0% vs baseline 0% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.799 vs 1.066
Sample
n = 2
O/U 2.5 · Primera A
Building track record · 2/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 0% +100.0 pp
Brier
0.276 vs 0.541
Sample
n = 2
1X2 · Pro League A
Building track record · 2/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 50% +50.0 pp
Brier
0.091 vs 0.614
Sample
n = 2
HT 1X2 · Pro League A
Building track record · 2/200
Hit rate
50% vs baseline 0% +50.0 pp
Brier
0.650 vs 0.743
Sample
n = 2
HT O/U 0.5 · Pro League A
Building track record · 2/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 100% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.217 vs 0.146
Sample
n = 2
HT O/U 1.5 · Pro League A
Building track record · 2/200
Hit rate
0% vs baseline 0% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.873 vs 1.066
Sample
n = 2
O/U 2.5 · Pro League A
Building track record · 2/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 100% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.269 vs 0.461
Sample
n = 2
1X2 · Reserve League
Building track record · 2/200
Hit rate
50% vs baseline 50% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.410 vs 0.614
Sample
n = 2
HT 1X2 · Reserve League
Building track record · 2/200
Hit rate
50% vs baseline 0% +50.0 pp
Brier
0.570 vs 0.743
Sample
n = 2
HT O/U 0.5 · Reserve League
Building track record · 2/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 100% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.170 vs 0.146
Sample
n = 2
HT O/U 1.5 · Reserve League
Building track record · 2/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 100% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.257 vs 0.146
Sample
n = 2
O/U 2.5 · Reserve League
Building track record · 2/200
Hit rate
50% vs baseline 50% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.424 vs 0.501
Sample
n = 2
1X2 · 3. Division - Girone 5
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 100% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.112 vs 0.454
Sample
n = 1
HT 1X2 · 3. Division - Girone 5
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 0% +100.0 pp
Brier
0.211 vs 0.663
Sample
n = 1
HT O/U 0.5 · 3. Division - Girone 5
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 100% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.018 vs 0.146
Sample
n = 1
HT O/U 1.5 · 3. Division - Girone 5
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 0% +100.0 pp
Brier
0.289 vs 1.066
Sample
n = 1
O/U 2.5 · 3. Division - Girone 5
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 100% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.097 vs 0.461
Sample
n = 1
1X2 · Brasileiro Women
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 100% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.201 vs 0.454
Sample
n = 1
HT 1X2 · Brasileiro Women
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 0% +100.0 pp
Brier
0.327 vs 0.663
Sample
n = 1
HT O/U 0.5 · Brasileiro Women
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 100% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.062 vs 0.146
Sample
n = 1
HT O/U 1.5 · Brasileiro Women
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
0% vs baseline 100% -100.0 pp
Brier
0.669 vs 0.146
Sample
n = 1
O/U 2.5 · Brasileiro Women
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
0% vs baseline 0% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.745 vs 0.541
Sample
n = 1
1X2 · Copa de la División Profesional
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 100% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.249 vs 0.454
Sample
n = 1
HT 1X2 · Copa de la División Profesional
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
0% vs baseline 0% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.962 vs 0.663
Sample
n = 1
HT O/U 0.5 · Copa de la División Profesional
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 100% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.092 vs 0.146
Sample
n = 1
HT O/U 1.5 · Copa de la División Profesional
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 0% +100.0 pp
Brier
0.461 vs 1.066
Sample
n = 1
O/U 2.5 · Copa de la División Profesional
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 100% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.283 vs 0.461
Sample
n = 1
1X2 · Cup
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 100% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.264 vs 0.454
Sample
n = 1
HT 1X2 · Cup
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
0% vs baseline 0% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.737 vs 0.663
Sample
n = 1
HT O/U 0.5 · Cup
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 100% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.053 vs 0.146
Sample
n = 1
HT O/U 1.5 · Cup
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
0% vs baseline 100% -100.0 pp
Brier
0.766 vs 0.146
Sample
n = 1
O/U 2.5 · Cup
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 100% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.247 vs 0.461
Sample
n = 1
1X2 · Frauen Bundesliga
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
0% vs baseline 0% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.850 vs 0.834
Sample
n = 1
HT 1X2 · Frauen Bundesliga
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 0% +100.0 pp
Brier
0.497 vs 0.663
Sample
n = 1
HT O/U 0.5 · Frauen Bundesliga
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 100% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.061 vs 0.146
Sample
n = 1
HT O/U 1.5 · Frauen Bundesliga
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 100% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.411 vs 0.146
Sample
n = 1
O/U 2.5 · Frauen Bundesliga
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
0% vs baseline 0% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.527 vs 0.541
Sample
n = 1
1X2 · Kvindeliga
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 0% +100.0 pp
Brier
0.033 vs 0.774
Sample
n = 1
HT 1X2 · Kvindeliga
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 0% +100.0 pp
Brier
0.245 vs 0.823
Sample
n = 1
HT O/U 0.5 · Kvindeliga
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 100% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.024 vs 0.146
Sample
n = 1
HT O/U 1.5 · Kvindeliga
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
0% vs baseline 100% -100.0 pp
Brier
0.668 vs 0.146
Sample
n = 1
O/U 2.5 · Kvindeliga
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
0% vs baseline 0% 0.0 pp
Brier
1.341 vs 0.541
Sample
n = 1
1X2 · Liga Panameña de Fútbol
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 100% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.368 vs 0.454
Sample
n = 1
HT 1X2 · Liga Panameña de Fútbol
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 100% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.412 vs 0.543
Sample
n = 1
HT O/U 0.5 · Liga Panameña de Fútbol
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
0% vs baseline 0% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.726 vs 1.066
Sample
n = 1
HT O/U 1.5 · Liga Panameña de Fútbol
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 100% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.105 vs 0.146
Sample
n = 1
O/U 2.5 · Liga Panameña de Fútbol
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 0% +100.0 pp
Brier
0.250 vs 0.541
Sample
n = 1
1X2 · Liga de Ascenso
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 100% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.322 vs 0.454
Sample
n = 1
HT 1X2 · Liga de Ascenso
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
0% vs baseline 100% -100.0 pp
Brier
0.701 vs 0.543
Sample
n = 1
HT O/U 0.5 · Liga de Ascenso
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
0% vs baseline 0% 0.0 pp
Brier
1.300 vs 1.066
Sample
n = 1
HT O/U 1.5 · Liga de Ascenso
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 100% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.374 vs 0.146
Sample
n = 1
O/U 2.5 · Liga de Ascenso
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
0% vs baseline 0% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.505 vs 0.541
Sample
n = 1
1X2 · Ligue 1
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
0% vs baseline 0% 0.0 pp
Brier
1.293 vs 0.834
Sample
n = 1
HT 1X2 · Ligue 1
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 100% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.508 vs 0.543
Sample
n = 1
HT O/U 0.5 · Ligue 1
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
0% vs baseline 0% 0.0 pp
Brier
1.103 vs 1.066
Sample
n = 1
HT O/U 1.5 · Ligue 1
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 100% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.408 vs 0.146
Sample
n = 1
O/U 2.5 · Ligue 1
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
0% vs baseline 0% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.784 vs 0.541
Sample
n = 1
1X2 · Major League Soccer
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
0% vs baseline 0% 0.0 pp
Brier
1.145 vs 0.834
Sample
n = 1
HT 1X2 · Major League Soccer
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
0% vs baseline 100% -100.0 pp
Brier
0.871 vs 0.543
Sample
n = 1
HT O/U 0.5 · Major League Soccer
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 100% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.022 vs 0.146
Sample
n = 1
HT O/U 1.5 · Major League Soccer
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 0% +100.0 pp
Brier
0.263 vs 1.066
Sample
n = 1
O/U 2.5 · Major League Soccer
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 100% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.079 vs 0.461
Sample
n = 1
1X2 · Premier League
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 100% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.421 vs 0.454
Sample
n = 1
HT 1X2 · Premier League
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
0% vs baseline 0% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.947 vs 0.663
Sample
n = 1
HT O/U 0.5 · Premier League
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 100% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.240 vs 0.146
Sample
n = 1
HT O/U 1.5 · Premier League
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
0% vs baseline 0% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.971 vs 1.066
Sample
n = 1
O/U 2.5 · Premier League
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
0% vs baseline 100% -100.0 pp
Brier
0.602 vs 0.461
Sample
n = 1
1X2 · Primera B
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
0% vs baseline 0% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.798 vs 0.834
Sample
n = 1
HT 1X2 · Primera B
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 100% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.560 vs 0.543
Sample
n = 1
HT O/U 0.5 · Primera B
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
0% vs baseline 0% 0.0 pp
Brier
1.149 vs 1.066
Sample
n = 1
HT O/U 1.5 · Primera B
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 100% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.426 vs 0.146
Sample
n = 1
O/U 2.5 · Primera B
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
0% vs baseline 0% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.563 vs 0.541
Sample
n = 1
1X2 · Primera Nacional
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
0% vs baseline 0% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.605 vs 0.834
Sample
n = 1
HT 1X2 · Primera Nacional
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
0% vs baseline 0% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.555 vs 0.823
Sample
n = 1
HT O/U 0.5 · Primera Nacional
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 100% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.251 vs 0.146
Sample
n = 1
HT O/U 1.5 · Primera Nacional
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 100% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.164 vs 0.146
Sample
n = 1
O/U 2.5 · Primera Nacional
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 0% +100.0 pp
Brier
0.104 vs 0.541
Sample
n = 1
1X2 · Primera Premier
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
0% vs baseline 0% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.797 vs 0.774
Sample
n = 1
HT 1X2 · Primera Premier
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 0% +100.0 pp
Brier
0.466 vs 0.823
Sample
n = 1
HT O/U 0.5 · Primera Premier
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 100% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.113 vs 0.146
Sample
n = 1
HT O/U 1.5 · Primera Premier
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 100% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.453 vs 0.146
Sample
n = 1
O/U 2.5 · Primera Premier
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
0% vs baseline 100% -100.0 pp
Brier
0.616 vs 0.461
Sample
n = 1
1X2 · Regionalliga - Ost
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 100% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.476 vs 0.454
Sample
n = 1
HT 1X2 · Regionalliga - Ost
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
0% vs baseline 0% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.738 vs 0.663
Sample
n = 1
HT O/U 0.5 · Regionalliga - Ost
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 100% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.021 vs 0.146
Sample
n = 1
HT O/U 1.5 · Regionalliga - Ost
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
0% vs baseline 100% -100.0 pp
Brier
0.680 vs 0.146
Sample
n = 1
O/U 2.5 · Regionalliga - Ost
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
0% vs baseline 0% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.991 vs 0.541
Sample
n = 1
1X2 · Regionalliga - South
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 100% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.119 vs 0.454
Sample
n = 1
HT 1X2 · Regionalliga - South
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 0% +100.0 pp
Brier
0.483 vs 0.663
Sample
n = 1
HT O/U 0.5 · Regionalliga - South
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 100% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.123 vs 0.146
Sample
n = 1
HT O/U 1.5 · Regionalliga - South
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 100% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.372 vs 0.146
Sample
n = 1
O/U 2.5 · Regionalliga - South
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 100% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.316 vs 0.461
Sample
n = 1
1X2 · Second League - Group 1
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 100% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.278 vs 0.454
Sample
n = 1
HT 1X2 · Second League - Group 1
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 0% +100.0 pp
Brier
0.364 vs 0.663
Sample
n = 1
HT O/U 0.5 · Second League - Group 1
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 100% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.118 vs 0.146
Sample
n = 1
HT O/U 1.5 · Second League - Group 1
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
0% vs baseline 0% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.674 vs 1.066
Sample
n = 1
O/U 2.5 · Second League - Group 1
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
0% vs baseline 100% -100.0 pp
Brier
0.556 vs 0.461
Sample
n = 1
1X2 · Serie A
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 100% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.409 vs 0.454
Sample
n = 1
HT 1X2 · Serie A
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
0% vs baseline 100% -100.0 pp
Brier
0.661 vs 0.543
Sample
n = 1
HT O/U 0.5 · Serie A
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 100% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.062 vs 0.146
Sample
n = 1
HT O/U 1.5 · Serie A
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 0% +100.0 pp
Brier
0.462 vs 1.066
Sample
n = 1
O/U 2.5 · Serie A
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 100% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.431 vs 0.461
Sample
n = 1
1X2 · Serie B
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 100% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.433 vs 0.454
Sample
n = 1
HT 1X2 · Serie B
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
0% vs baseline 0% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.684 vs 0.663
Sample
n = 1
HT O/U 0.5 · Serie B
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 100% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.278 vs 0.146
Sample
n = 1
HT O/U 1.5 · Serie B
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 100% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.157 vs 0.146
Sample
n = 1
O/U 2.5 · Serie B
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
0% vs baseline 100% -100.0 pp
Brier
0.798 vs 0.461
Sample
n = 1
1X2 · Torneo Promocional Amateur
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
0% vs baseline 100% -100.0 pp
Brier
0.676 vs 0.454
Sample
n = 1
O/U 2.5 · Torneo Promocional Amateur
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
0% vs baseline 100% -100.0 pp
Brier
0.855 vs 0.461
Sample
n = 1
1X2 · USL Super League
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 100% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.191 vs 0.454
Sample
n = 1
HT 1X2 · USL Super League
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 100% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.533 vs 0.543
Sample
n = 1
HT O/U 0.5 · USL Super League
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
0% vs baseline 0% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.924 vs 1.066
Sample
n = 1
HT O/U 1.5 · USL Super League
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
100% vs baseline 100% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.150 vs 0.146
Sample
n = 1
O/U 2.5 · USL Super League
Building track record · 1/200
Hit rate
0% vs baseline 100% -100.0 pp
Brier
0.599 vs 0.461
Sample
n = 1

Historical back-test (not live results)

Walk-forward simulation on seasons 2022, 2023, 2024, 2025: each match predicted only from earlier matches. Shown until live rows qualify; it never counts toward the live hit rate.

1X2 · league 39
Hit rate
52% vs baseline 51% +1.2 pp
Brier
0.585 vs 0.648
Sample
n = 1367
O/U 2.5 · league 39
Hit rate
60% vs baseline 57% +3.1 pp
Brier
0.485 vs 0.490
Sample
n = 1367
HT 1X2 · league 39
Hit rate
43% vs baseline 38% +5.0 pp
Brier
0.636 vs 0.658
Sample
n = 1367
HT O/U 0.5 · league 39
Hit rate
74% vs baseline 74% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.379 vs 0.382
Sample
n = 1367
HT O/U 1.5 · league 39
Hit rate
61% vs baseline 63% -2.2 pp
Brier
0.473 vs 0.468
Sample
n = 1367
1X2 · league 45
Hit rate
47% vs baseline 33% +13.7 pp
Brier
0.690 vs 0.625
Sample
n = 694
O/U 2.5 · league 45
Hit rate
57% vs baseline 67% -9.8 pp
Brier
0.495 vs 0.447
Sample
n = 694
HT 1X2 · league 45
Hit rate
31% vs baseline 34% -3.6 pp
Brier
0.699 vs 0.734
Sample
n = 476
HT O/U 0.5 · league 45
Hit rate
73% vs baseline 62% +11.1 pp
Brier
0.399 vs 0.532
Sample
n = 476
HT O/U 1.5 · league 45
Hit rate
54% vs baseline 58% -4.2 pp
Brier
0.498 vs 0.512
Sample
n = 476
1X2 · league 61
Hit rate
52% vs baseline 50% +1.6 pp
Brier
0.600 vs 0.647
Sample
n = 1153
O/U 2.5 · league 61
Hit rate
55% vs baseline 54% +1.3 pp
Brier
0.496 vs 0.498
Sample
n = 1153
HT 1X2 · league 61
Hit rate
42% vs baseline 39% +2.9 pp
Brier
0.643 vs 0.661
Sample
n = 1153
HT O/U 0.5 · league 61
Hit rate
71% vs baseline 71% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.412 vs 0.409
Sample
n = 1153
HT O/U 1.5 · league 61
Hit rate
62% vs baseline 64% -1.5 pp
Brier
0.468 vs 0.463
Sample
n = 1153
1X2 · league 78
Hit rate
51% vs baseline 50% +0.9 pp
Brier
0.599 vs 0.653
Sample
n = 1079
O/U 2.5 · league 78
Hit rate
61% vs baseline 62% -0.5 pp
Brier
0.465 vs 0.473
Sample
n = 1079
HT 1X2 · league 78
Hit rate
46% vs baseline 34% +12.2 pp
Brier
0.632 vs 0.664
Sample
n = 1079
HT O/U 0.5 · league 78
Hit rate
77% vs baseline 77% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.354 vs 0.357
Sample
n = 1079
HT O/U 1.5 · league 78
Hit rate
56% vs baseline 56% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.489 vs 0.493
Sample
n = 1079
1X2 · league 135
Hit rate
52% vs baseline 51% +1.2 pp
Brier
0.595 vs 0.660
Sample
n = 1371
O/U 2.5 · league 135
Hit rate
54% vs baseline 53% +1.0 pp
Brier
0.502 vs 0.499
Sample
n = 1371
HT 1X2 · league 135
Hit rate
44% vs baseline 42% +1.9 pp
Brier
0.636 vs 0.657
Sample
n = 1371
HT O/U 0.5 · league 135
Hit rate
68% vs baseline 68% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.435 vs 0.434
Sample
n = 1371
HT O/U 1.5 · league 135
Hit rate
68% vs baseline 70% -1.5 pp
Brier
0.432 vs 0.424
Sample
n = 1371
1X2 · league 140
Hit rate
53% vs baseline 51% +2.0 pp
Brier
0.583 vs 0.641
Sample
n = 1370
O/U 2.5 · league 140
Hit rate
57% vs baseline 52% +5.3 pp
Brier
0.485 vs 0.500
Sample
n = 1370
HT 1X2 · league 140
Hit rate
46% vs baseline 43% +2.4 pp
Brier
0.631 vs 0.645
Sample
n = 1370
HT O/U 0.5 · league 140
Hit rate
68% vs baseline 68% 0.0 pp
Brier
0.433 vs 0.435
Sample
n = 1370
HT O/U 1.5 · league 140
Hit rate
68% vs baseline 69% -0.4 pp
Brier
0.433 vs 0.432
Sample
n = 1370

Track record

Headline edge

Calibration — what happened when we said…

1X2 · EFL Trophy

HT 1X2 · EFL Trophy

HT O/U 0.5 · EFL Trophy

HT O/U 1.5 · EFL Trophy

O/U 2.5 · EFL Trophy

1X2 · Challenge Cup

HT 1X2 · Challenge Cup

HT O/U 0.5 · Challenge Cup

HT O/U 1.5 · Challenge Cup

O/U 2.5 · Challenge Cup

1X2 · KNVB Beker

HT 1X2 · KNVB Beker

HT O/U 0.5 · KNVB Beker

HT O/U 1.5 · KNVB Beker

O/U 2.5 · KNVB Beker

1X2 · FA Cup

HT 1X2 · FA Cup

HT O/U 0.5 · FA Cup

HT O/U 1.5 · FA Cup

O/U 2.5 · FA Cup

1X2 · Brasileiro U17

HT 1X2 · Brasileiro U17

HT O/U 0.5 · Brasileiro U17

HT O/U 1.5 · Brasileiro U17

O/U 2.5 · Brasileiro U17

1X2 · Non League Premier - Southern Central

HT 1X2 · Non League Premier - Southern Central

HT O/U 0.5 · Non League Premier - Southern Central

HT O/U 1.5 · Non League Premier - Southern Central

O/U 2.5 · Non League Premier - Southern Central

1X2 · Liga Profesional Argentina

HT 1X2 · Liga Profesional Argentina

HT O/U 0.5 · Liga Profesional Argentina

HT O/U 1.5 · Liga Profesional Argentina

O/U 2.5 · Liga Profesional Argentina

1X2 · Non League Premier - Southern South

HT 1X2 · Non League Premier - Southern South

HT O/U 0.5 · Non League Premier - Southern South

HT O/U 1.5 · Non League Premier - Southern South

O/U 2.5 · Non League Premier - Southern South

1X2 · UEFA Champions League Women

HT 1X2 · UEFA Champions League Women

HT O/U 0.5 · UEFA Champions League Women

HT O/U 1.5 · UEFA Champions League Women

O/U 2.5 · UEFA Champions League Women

1X2 · Azadegan League

HT 1X2 · Azadegan League

HT O/U 0.5 · Azadegan League

HT O/U 1.5 · Azadegan League

O/U 2.5 · Azadegan League

1X2 · First League

HT 1X2 · First League

HT O/U 0.5 · First League

HT O/U 1.5 · First League

O/U 2.5 · First League

1X2 · Friendlies

HT 1X2 · Friendlies

HT O/U 0.5 · Friendlies

HT O/U 1.5 · Friendlies

O/U 2.5 · Friendlies

1X2 · Liga MX

HT 1X2 · Liga MX

HT O/U 0.5 · Liga MX

HT O/U 1.5 · Liga MX

O/U 2.5 · Liga MX

1X2 · Liga MX Femenil

HT 1X2 · Liga MX Femenil

HT O/U 0.5 · Liga MX Femenil

HT O/U 1.5 · Liga MX Femenil

O/U 2.5 · Liga MX Femenil

1X2 · Professional Development League

HT 1X2 · Professional Development League

HT O/U 0.5 · Professional Development League

HT O/U 1.5 · Professional Development League

O/U 2.5 · Professional Development League

1X2 · QSL Cup

HT 1X2 · QSL Cup